Torino arrive on a run of three straight league wins under Ignazio Abate. They beat Udinese 2-1 at home, won 3-0 in Parma and then edged Monza 3-2 on Friday. That leaves Torino eighth on 13 points after eight games, with 13 goals scored and 11 conceded. The attack is clearly in better shape than it was in September, when Roma won 2-0 in Turin, but the team has kept only one clean sheet in its last five matches. According to reports, Abate is also without several squad players, among them Leonardo Pellegri.
Como are fifth on 17 points and have the more convincing numbers: 14 goals scored and only seven conceded in eight league games, one of the best defensive records in Serie A. Cesc Fabregas's side thrashed Manchester United 4-1 at home in the Champions League last Wednesday, with Nico Paz scoring twice, and followed that with a 2-0 league win over Sassuolo on Saturday. The flip side is the schedule. Tuesday's game is their third in seven days, and according to reports Fabregas has rotated his line-up regularly this autumn and is without Alberto Liberali, among others.
The recent head-to-head record is one-sided. Como won 5-1 in Turin in November 2025 and 6-0 at home in January, and only one of the last four meetings has seen both teams score. Stylistically, Como want the ball and tend to control territory, while Torino are at their most dangerous in transitions and from wide areas. If Como manage the game the way they usually do, Torino could have long spells without real chances, and Como's defence has repeatedly made that kind of evening count.
There are clear risks. Torino have scored eight goals in their last three league games and are playing with confidence in front of their own fans, while a rotated Como back line on tired legs is less reliable than the season averages suggest. A single counter-attack or set piece is enough to lose this bet. Still, we prefer it to backing Como to win, which is priced short and depends on the visitors' attack firing after a heavy week. A 'No' covers both a tight Como win and a Torino clean sheet, which fits the most likely shapes of this match.
At OddsCapo, both teams to score: No is available at 2.40 with Sky Bet, which corresponds to an implied probability of 41.7 per cent. We put the chance at around 47 per cent, given Como's defensive record, the recent head-to-head meetings and the likelihood that Como score while Torino struggle to create clear chances. The margin is not huge, and the result can turn on one goal, but the price looks slightly too generous for a game where the visitors concede so little.
Betting tip: Both teams to score: No @ 2.40 (Sky Bet)
Odds were taken from OddsCapo on Tuesday and may have changed. Always check the price with the bookmaker before you bet.
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