Manuel Pellegrini's Betis have started their first Champions League campaign since 2005/06 with two 3-2 wins, away at Lille and at home to Porto. Domestically they have won eight of their last 11 matches in all competitions, but Saturday's 5-2 home defeat to Barcelona showed how open they can be at the back. Over their last ten games Betis have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, and several of their wins have come by just one goal. Junior Firpo and Cucho Hernández are out injured, while Antony was an unused substitute at the weekend and is expected to be available. Abde Ezzalzouli, Isco and Troy Parrott carry most of the attacking threat.
Feyenoord, now coached by Giovanni van Bronckhorst, are flying in the Netherlands. A 4-3 win away at Telstar on Saturday was their fifth straight victory and stretched their lead over PSV at the top of the Eredivisie to four points. In Europe it has been more mixed: a 5-1 defeat in Barcelona followed by a 3-2 home win over Como. Nacho Ferri, Gjivai Zechiel and Anis Hadj Moussa have six goals each this season, and Feyenoord have averaged well over three goals per game in their recent run. The absentee list is long, though. Jordan Bos is out, and according to the latest reports several more squad players are unavailable.
The only previous meeting came in the Europa League league phase in January 2026, when Betis won 2-1 in Seville. Antony and Ezzalzouli put Betis two goals up before Casper Tengstedt pulled one back late on. That was under Robin van Persie, so the Rotterdam side now looks quite different. Tactically we expect Betis to have more of the ball, but Feyenoord's direct, quick attackers should find space against a home defence that has conceded freely. Both sides have scored in plenty of recent matches, which makes a comfortable Betis win less likely than the price on the home side suggests.
The obvious risk is Betis' quality at home and Feyenoord's struggles against top Spanish opposition, as seen at Camp Nou. If the visitors' depleted squad tires in the second half, Betis could pull clear. Still, we prefer Feyenoord +1 on the Asian handicap to a straight bet on the visitors or the draw. The bet wins if Feyenoord win or draw, the stake is refunded if Betis win by exactly one goal, and it only loses if Betis win by two or more. Given how many of Betis' wins have been narrow, that refund is valuable protection.
OddsCapo has Feyenoord +1 at 1.85 with Coolbet, which corresponds to an implied probability of 54.1 per cent once the refund outcome is excluded. We rate Feyenoord's chances of avoiding defeat at around 45 per cent and a one-goal Betis win at around 23 per cent. That means the bet should win in roughly 58 per cent of the outcomes that are not refunded, which we think gives the price value.
Betting tip: Feyenoord +1 @ 1.85 (Coolbet)
Odds were taken from OddsCapo on Wednesday and may have changed. Always check the price with the bookmaker before you bet.
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